Industry forecast

Private Aviation
Market Forecast - 2026

Published:

May 15, 2026

Our 2026 forecast projects continued growth and resilience across the business aviation sector. Strong demand, limited inventory and evolving buyer priorities will shape the market over the next 12-24 months.

While challenges such as macroeconomic volatility and supply chain constrains, long-term fundamentals for private aviation are expected to stay positive.

Industry Macro View

Market Overview

global business jet fleet

21,572

+4.5%
vs
2025

annual transactions (2025)

3,118

+7.5%
vs
2024

active market inventory

4.2%

of fleet (historycally low)

used market price index

+6.3%

YoY increase

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2026-2028 outlook

Demand Forecast by Segment

segment

demand strength

new deliveries outlook

pre-owned market impact

key takeway

Light Jets
Moderate
Slight increase
(350 - 400 units annually)
Stable prices, more options available

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Midsize Jets
Moderate
Steady
(350 - 400 units annually)
Stable prices, more options available

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Super Midsize Jets
Moderate
Moderate increase
(350 - 400 units annually)
Stable prices, more options available

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Heavy Jets
Moderate
Steady
(350 - 400 units annually)
Stable prices, more options available

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Ultra Long Range Jets
Moderate
Limited
(350 - 400 units annually)
Stable prices, more options available

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*Forecasted deliveries are estimates based on OEM guidance and industry analysis.

2026-2028

New Deliveries Pipeline

oem

key models

2026e

2027e

2028e

Impact on pre-owned market

Gulfstream
G400, G800
65

75

75

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Bombardier
Global 7500
75

75

75

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Gulfstream
G400, G800
65

75

75

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Bombardier
Global 7500
75

75

75

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Gulfstream
G400, G800
65

75

75

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External Catalysts

Macro Factors Shaping the Market

Interest Rates & Financing Costs

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Business Travel Recovery

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Fleet Age & Replacement Cycles

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SAF Adoption & Regulation

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Geopolitical Demand Shifts

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Actionable Insights

Current Opportunities for Buyers & Sellers

Opportunities for Buyers

Balanced inventory and strong OEM pipeline creates opportunities for strategic buyers in 2026.

Midsize and Super Midsize offers the best value and strongest liquidity.
Select 5-8 year old aircraft present attractive pricing opportunities.
Monitor OEM delivery timelines for negotiation leverage.
Global market expansion offers more pre-owned options in certain categories.

Opportunities for Sellers

Seller conditions remain favorable for well-maintained in-draft aircraft.

Midsize, Super Midsize and Ultra Long Range jets are in highest demand.
Low inventory levels continue to support strong pricing and faster sales.
Consider selling in the next 12 months to maximize market conditions.
Well-documented maintenance and upgrades increase value and buyer confidence.

Plan with confidence. Decide with insight.

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